McKinney population increases 365% in 20 years

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McKinney explodes. The once tiny cotton community now numbers nearly 180,000, according to the city’s annual population estimate.

This is an increase of almost 7% from last year and a huge jump of 365% from 20 years ago, when only 38,000 people lived in the northern suburbs of the county. by Collin.

The population boom – for McKinney and Collin County – shows no signs of slowing down. By 2040, McKinney’s population is expected to increase by 100,000 more to about 284,000, according to city estimates.

City officials predicted the city could claim between 350,000 and 400,000 people during construction. Frisco estimates that its population could reach over 370,000 if all goes according to plan.

This means that many of McKinney’s future leaders – volunteers and advocates expected to take the stage over the next two decades – haven’t even arrived yet.

For McKinney, rapid growth is all about the right place at the right time, said Michael Quint, executive director of city development services.

Workers put the finishing touches on a house in the 3600 block of Trinidad Drive in McKinney on Wednesday. (David Woo / Staff Photographer)

“It probably has less to do with the city and more with the fact that we are in one of the best developing climates in the country,” he said, noting the state’s tax structure that attracts business. and the educated workforce of North Texas. Schools and public safety are also an important factor in the region.

“While I’d like to say McKinney is doing this or that right, I think a lot of the time is we’re in a big part of the country where people want to be,” he said.

The map shows McKinney's population growth from 2010 to 2018, when the city estimates its population grew by 37%.
The map shows McKinney’s population growth from 2010 to 2018, when the city estimates its population grew by 37%. (Town of McKinney)

“The feeling of openness”

Last year, McKinney and Frisco topped the US Census Bureau’s list of the country’s 15 fastest growing cities from 2015 to 2016. Only Conroe – a Montgomery County suburb north of Houston – ahead of them for first place.

Frisco’s population stood at more than 172,000 people in January, according to the city.

Less well known is Celina – 40 miles north of downtown Dallas and beyond the end of the Dallas North Toll Freeway. Although its population totals only around 11,000 people now, that’s almost double what it was in 2010, according to the city. And it’s estimated to hit around 350,000 by the time of construction, rivaling Collin County siblings Frisco and McKinney.

“There’s that progression. People move from Dallas to Richardson to Plano to Frisco and keep going because they want the open space, the open feeling,” Celina Mayor Sean Terry said in an interview. at the end of last year.

He expects the suburb to experience its growth spurt from 2020 to 2030. Already, it is expanding so rapidly that city staff cannot keep up-to-date maps on hand.

“Celina has such a large land mass. It’s like playing monopoly, and we don’t want to go wrong on any step,” he said. City officials say it is a critical year for Celina as city leaders work on her strategic and comprehensive plans.

“We find our niche. What are we going to be?” said Terry.

This graph shows McKinney's population estimates from 1998 to 2018.
This graph shows McKinney’s population estimates from 1998 to 2018. (Town of McKinney)

Some growing pains

Since 2000, the population of Collin County has grown by almost 90 percent. At that rate, the county is expected to double in size by 2030 and overtake the populations of Dallas and Tarrant counties by 2050 with a population of over 3.5 million.

And with this rapid change comes growing pains.

Homeowners in the rural part of the county, for example, protested last year against a high-speed bypass north of US Highway 380 that could ease traffic jams but divide their neighborhoods and cut through their homes.

And last fall, McKinney city council members scrapped a plan to forcibly add thousands of acres where people live just outside city limits before a new state law dealing with annexation. Residents of the county gathered after meeting in the battle that lasted for weeks, calling the forced annexation a “land grab”.

But Quint said the loss of those acres shouldn’t hurt the city’s expansion plans. Currently, McKinney’s city limits extend to nearly 68 square miles, and its total land mass, including its extraterritorial jurisdiction, totals nearly 116 square miles.

“Even though we don’t annex it today, it is still in our ETJ,” he said of the land just outside the city limits. “So whether that happens in 10 or 100 years, we still expect these areas to be within our city limits.”


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